Showing posts with label Prime Minister. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Prime Minister. Show all posts

Analysis: Etihad post strong results; government fears over Jetihad overblown

by Vinay Bhaskara

Abu Dhabi based full service carrier Etihad Airways announced yesterday that it had achieved record revenue growth for the second quarter and first half of 2013. For Q2 2013, passenger revenues grew a robust 8% to $921 million, while passenger revenues for the first half of 2013 hit $1.8 billion, up 13% from $1.6 billion in 2012.

Revenue generated by its code share and equity alliance partners leapt 25% to $184 million in Q2 and was responsible for 20% of Etihad’s revenue for the first half. Passenger traffic as measured in revenue passenger miles (RPMs) and capacity as measured by available seat miles (ASMs) each grew 13% year over year in Q2; the figures were 15% and 12% respectively for the first half of 2013. Etihad added 11 new aircraft to the fleet over the preceding 12 month period (bringing its fleet up to 78 frames), and added new services to Amsterdam, Belgrade, Sao Paulo, and Washington DC (added at the end of March) in Q2.

Clearly, Etihad has achieved a strong pattern of growth in the shadow of its behemoth rivals of the MEB3 +1 (Middle East Big 3 plus One) carriers; Dubai based Emirates Airlines, Doha based Qatar Airways, and Istanbul based Turkish Airlines. A key component of this growth is driven by Etihad’s equity investments.

In addition to Etihad’s proposed 24% investment into Jet Airways creating the so-called Jetihad partnership, Etihad holds a 29% share of airberlin, 40% of Air Seychelles, 10% of Virgin Australia, and 3% of Aer Lingus. Etihad recently secured Australian regulatory approval to increase its equity stake in Virgin Australia from 10% to 19%.  It also announced that it had signed an Initial Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with the Serbian government to discuss potentially investing in Serbian national carrier JatAirways.

As per the Etihad press release, CEO James Hogan:
…said a significant achievement in Q2 was the improved contribution of the Etihad Airways equity alliance partners, in particular Germany’s airberlin, which has become the largest code share contributor. This reflects increased connectivity between the integrated networks of the two airlines.
And the Etihad results illustrate the case that can be made for the Jetihad partnership. In recent weeks, the Jetihad deal has hit a series of setbacks due to government reticence over allowing control over Jet Airways’ strategy to fall into foreign hands. A report from CNN IBN stated that
Jet's plan to relocate operations and core functions to Abu Dhabi has raised eyebrows as the proposed plan is not consistent with Indian norms, sources said. The co-operative board of the company will have control with 19 foreign nationals nominated by Etihad, sources added, and the government fears losing operation control of the domestic airline Jet.
Civil Aviation Minister Ajit Singh is reportedly sending a note to the Prime Minister’s Office asking Jet and Etihad to rework their deal to allay government concerns that the recent seat sharing agreement in the re-worked Abu Dhabi – India bilateral air service agreement (ASA).

Clearly the Jetihad partnership will benefit Etihad extensively, giving it a solid grip on westbound international traffic from India. And the seat sharing deal indeed does favor Jetihad over other full service carriers serving Abu Dhabi. But the ASA with Dubai is similarly tilted in favor of Emirates Airlines, and Jetihad will only serve to create a strong competitor to Emirates, who has increasingly monopolized westbound international traffic from India.

As to the question of whether Indian norms are being flouted by the addition of foreign nationals… maybe. But is that all together a bad thing? Operating under Indian norms, Jet Airways had fallen into a rut of sustained financial losses and network stagnation. In contrast, Etihad has created robust partnerships with its equity partners and helped re-vitalize them; Aer Lingus is reporting excellent financial results despite recession in Europe and residual demand weakness in its home country of Ireland.

Foreign blood may very well be just what Jet Airways needs to return it to profitability and stability domestically – the expertise of Etihad in running a profitable airline will be invaluable for Jet given the latter’s inconsistent result. And from a practical perspective, Etihad will likely do little to change Jet’s domestic strategy given its lack of expertise in the market. There is even room for some organic international expansion under the umbrella of Etihad; for example Aer Lingus recently announced an intercontinental expansion from its hub in Dublin to San Francisco and Toronto for 2014. Similar opportunities may present themselves for Jet Airways heading eastbound from the new integrated terminal at Mumbai.

I would like to remind readers, this is my view. Your comments, as usual, are requested and welcome.

Read more »

Air India's Emperor Class. How the Indian aristocracy abuses its "NetJets"

by Devesh Agarwal
Image courtesy Wikipedia
Officially India gained independence from monarchy on August 15, 1947. Fast forward these 66 years and the current breed of India's aristocracy is very much alive and kicking.

The British colonists may have left India, but the "Raj" continues, if only by a different name.

Welcome to Air India's Emperor Class.

Not the earlier Boeing 747s, the carrier named after famous Indian emperors, Emperor Ashoka, Emperor Kanishka, and others, but the regular usurping of the Boeing 747-400's of the hapless carrier's fleet, in a blatant act of profligacy, conducted in the name of the modern day emperors on a regular basis.

Air India One plus one more

Whenever the Indian President or Prime Minister travel abroad, the Government of India takes command of and charters the Boeing 747-400s of Air India.

Prime Minister Singh. PIB Photo.
The aircraft spend a few days being re-configured. The leader has to travel is a level above First Class, since that is already reserved for the hordes of accompanying government officials. Former President Patil used to even take her cooks along.

Completing the cabal are the media persons, who after due protests, now travel in Business Class.

This whole entourage travels on board Air India One.

Interestingly, if there is an accompanying business delegation, normally comprising the nation's top business leaders and some of the largest tax-payers, they have to fly in a separate aircraft, and pay their own way.

Since it is the top echelon leadership travelling, one Boeing 747-400 is not enough. Another Boeing 747-400 aircraft is similarly prepared and kept on stand-by, just in case the first one develops any problems. So Air India One always has a "Plus One".

True costs and hidden subsidies

Indian President at Dhaka. B744 wingtip behind. PIB photo.
As per reports, Air India billed the Defence Ministry for over Rs. 169 crore for aircraft used by former President Patil. The costs for Prime Minister Singh's travel are not known.

Assuming a typical charter rate for a Boeing 747-400 at around $35,000 per hour, the daily cost of chartering the two Boeing 747-400s is about Rs. 9.24 crore per day, thus arriving at a mere 18 days worth of charter. President Patil has undertaken 12 trips covering 22 countries across four continents.

12 trips in just 18 days?

Just re-configuring the aircraft from passenger to presidential travel and back to passenger would take at least two days per trip. For 12 trips that is 24 days i.e. lost income of Rs. 221.76 crore. Where is this amount billed? Is Air India being forced to covertly subsidise, at least in part, the cost of leaders' travels? Till some one files an RTI petition we may never know.

Domestically, the leaders use a Boeing Business Jet.
But on top of these explicit costs, there is a hidden cost involved.

The carrier loses two large capacity aircraft for a few days, which disrupts its schedules, causing irritation to its passengers, which naturally costs the airline what little credibility they have, forcing them to drop prices to unprofitable level just to bring back passengers.

Lose on the charter, lose on the passenger.

To complete this messy circle, the Government pumps more of our tax money into the airline, while demanding performance improvements by an airline management, appointed by them, dependent on them for promotions and postings, and who will naturally accept the regular abuse of the airline and its resources, with a deafening silence.

Profligacy rules

For their domestic travel, the Indian government first imported a dedicated fleet of Embraer business jets, for VVIP (Very Very Important Person i.e. top echelon leaders) use. Then another fleet of 737 based Boeing Business Jets (BBJs), again for VVIP use. These cost less than a quarter of a Boeing 747-400 to operate, and are already configured for leadership use.

Ukraine's official A319
Recently, the Indian President, and former finance minister, Pranab Mukherjee visited the neighbouring nation of Bangladesh.

The distance from New Delhi to Dhaka is a mere 1,426km, a lot less than the 2,260km to the southern capital of Thiruvananthapuram, the President takes in the BBJ. (See map here).

Despite the shorter distance, since the Bangladesh visit is an international trip, the President's travel has to be by Air India One.

In comparison to this wanton waste, when the President of Ukraine visited India, he came on a small official Airbus A319.

When President Sarkozy of France visited India, he came on a medium sized official Airbus A330. When we left for Agra on a private holiday, he flew by a private charter, not the official aircraft.

France's official A330.
When Prime Minister Cameron of the United Kingdom visited India, he flew in a chartered Virgin Atlantic two class configured plane.

Why did he not choose flag carrier British Airways?

It turns out, that British Airways planes have a First Class and the British Prime Minister is only allowed travel by Business Class. Nothing higher, even if offered for free.

At a time when the when the global economy is still weak, the Indian economy is at a precipice, the Indian Finance Minister P. Chidambaram is raising taxes on "luxury" services like a McDonald's air-conditioned restaurant, and calling for "fiscal restraint", one is befuddled these acts of profligacy, regularly undertaken in the name of the leaders of India.

Surely both President Mukherjee and Prime Minister Singh can easily demonstrate their commitment to expenditure control by abandoning the use of Air India One.

Alas this may be just wishful thinking. As long as the government considers itself the modern day aristocracy, it will continue to hold on to Air India. For them, it is not an airline, but instead, their own personal "NetJets"; an air transportation service, at their beck and call, to use and abuse.

As usual, your thoughts and comments are most welcome.
Read more »